clinton isn't going to waste her time unless obama makes serious inroads very quickly
if he doesn't, i doubt obama will spend much time there
South Carolina Primaries
- Thread starter TseTse
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clinton isn't going to waste her time unless obama makes serious inroads very quickly
if he doesn't, i doubt obama will spend much time there
I don't think there will be much campaigning in New York, it seems to be solidly Hillary ~55% in the last poll
Hillary seems to have New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Connecticut fairly easily and that's roughly 28% of delegates
Obama is almost certain to win Illinois and Georgia, could win Alabama and Tennessee depending on African-American turn-out
If Obama can win California, the combo of Illinois, Georgia, and California is 36% of the delegates
Then it will be down to Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado assuming Obama can make a push in California and take it
If Hillary takes California, she wins the day handily
but the DNC awards all delegates proportionally, not winner-take-all...
obama will want to spend quite a bit of time in big delegate states like california and new york even if he knows he can't win
i doubt he takes california given clinton's support among latinos, his wins are gonna come in illinois and states with lots of indies/repubs voting/ or generally red states
obama will want to spend quite a bit of time in big delegate states like california and new york even if he knows he can't win
i doubt he takes california given clinton's support among latinos, his wins are gonna come in illinois and states with lots of indies/repubs voting/ or generally red states
This is my line of thinking. It's down to delegate counting now. Without a winner takes all system, you can campaign anywhere you think you can gain a good amount of support.
Edwards stopped here in 2004.
I dunno...huckabee as prez with guliani as vp would be neat.
true, he doesn't have to take all of california though
There are three types of delegates, the unpledged super-delegates, delegates pledged based on total state-wide results, and delegates based on district-wide results.
district-wide results are around 55% of the delegates for each state
California has 241 of these district delegates from 53 congressional districts, so winning just a handful of these are the same as winning some of the smaller states
That is a good point though as to why Obama should stop by the north east, especially New York
Maybe then you'll get your fucking crack smoking ticket of Hucksterbee and Giuliani.
Um, that would be the scariest combo ever. A baptist preacher and a 9/11 nut bag, modern crusades here we come.
No one can be this stupid, it has to be a troll.
Oh and seriously though... 55% to 27% with 98% of precincts reporting? I'm sure even Hillary didn't think it would be THAT bad. GJ making those numbers worse Bill.
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Dangerdoggie
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