the average movie price ticket in los angeles is $15 and $21+ for premium formats
is it not? that's gotta be at least 50% of the shortfall, plus another 50% from no one wants a han solo movie or more prequels
I doubt the quality of the movie even enters into it, unless it had been spectacularly terrible or great
I would certainly say that the film's production issues are certainly a large factor. It's never a good sign when you fire directors and reshoot most of the film in a rushed production schedule. I would also put some of it on the SJW bullshit they keep ramming into Star Wars with the delicacy of a jackhammer.
I think largely though, it's due to The Last Jedi being fucking god awful and that it was less than 6 months ago, and the studio response to the backlash as being unwarranted. People had time to forget the prequels, but I know I'm not in a rush to go spend $15 on another Last Jedi.
agree with bowl about ppl not caring about director swaps or whatever narrative ppl would like to see in it
i think ppl a) dont care about a solo movie and b) are getting sick of the mediocre movies recently
They've only made... 4 movies...
How do you exhaust the franchise in only 4 movies?
Look at the Marvel Universe... they are on... what? 12 movies and counting now?, the last and most recent ones being very well received. Knocking it out of the park still.
I went to see it last night... it released on Friday? The theater I was in wasn't exactly packed.
I don't disagree. I'm not sure how much interest kids have in Solo, particularly if they never really paid much attention to the original trilogy. They might have only seen him in The Force Awakens before this, so why would they be interested in him over Rey, Finn, or Poe?
Your second point is really where I think the divide is though. When I hear Star Wars fatigue, I can only say it's really bad Star Wars fatigue. Marvel has put out 19 films, and they still do just fine at the box office. Some have underperformed compared to the others, but they still do exceptionally well overall. If Marvel, however, were to put out a few films that were, say, contentious if not outright bad, then you would see a likely drop off as well in subsequent films. Rogue One was just ok, and the Last Jedi was pretty awful. For the next film to do well, it has to be a film that people are interested in, and be a well made film.
It doesn't help Disney that all of their one-off films are about original trilogy characters either. The younger kids won't be as interested other than "Star Wars" and the older fans of the originals are unhappy with the story choices being made. It's a lose-lose.
https://www.quantcast.com/blog/the-fans-behind-the-force/
Cliffs: A typical Star Wars fan is likely male, aged 18-44, watches science, history and horror TV shows and works in IT or legal.
Sure Star Wars has broad appeal, but it's not the single mom who takes the kids to the film once that makes them huge hits. It's comic and nerd culture dudes in their 30s who see the Thursday midnight shows, buys a ton of merchandise, has a blog for their favorite character, etc. If they never made another Star Wars movie, you're not going to have disappointed parents clamoring for new releases from Disney.
And saying TLJ's reputation is not notably worse than the average marvel movie is ignorant. The lowest rated Marvel film is The Dark World, and it's 20% higher than TLJ's audience rating. Of course an internet forum filled with mostly white males in their 30s are going to hate on it more than the general public will, but you're kidding yourself if you don't think that a decrease in sales likely correlates to the largest film-going demographic not showing up to watch the film.
rt also doesn't count any rating less than one star in the tabulation so, tlj would have been much lowerIf you have a better metric than RT for comparing audience reaction by all means share it. If you want to go by Box Office alone, TLJ saw a 30% decline from TFA. What is your belief that caused said decline if it was a well received film?
It doesn't help Disney that all of their one-off films are about original trilogy characters either. The younger kids won't be as interested other than "Star Wars" and the older fans of the originals are unhappy with the story choices being made. It's a lose-lose.
If you have a better metric than RT for comparing audience reaction by all means share it. If you want to go by Box Office alone, TLJ saw a 30% decline from TFA. What is your belief that caused said decline if it was a well received film?
sequel effect
the problem using rt scores is that they aren't demographically independent, they select heavily for ragenerds. moreover, they're majorly susceptible to goodhart's law.
box office numbers/dropoff are all you need. I'm also not claiming star fatigue is a 100% explanation. I'm saying there's no simple narrative and anyone telling you otherwise is naive or trying to sell you something. people spend money on things they think they want, they don't make accurate predictions of what that will be. occams razor. to go back to your first box office heart attack, fembusters bombed not because sjw warriors, it bombed because no one wanted a ghostbusters remake.
anyway, the tlj box office drop is sequel effect. you can shake it with long-term reboots or crypto-sequeling a la marvel; otherwise, with a few rare exceptions, sequels always make less money.