Oh come on Fool, you're really reaching now....this is super simple.
Deny science - don't wear a mask - increased chance of catching Covid.
Deny Science - don't wear a seatbelt - increased chance of dying in a wreck.
The other commonality being of course "muh freedumbs". Precisely the same mentality that allows Darwin a shot.
If I didn't word it in precisely the way you would have liked it, you sure as fuck knew what the analogy meant.
This isn't difficult Mitch.
Your original comparison was restricted to a single cause and effect. That seatbelt denouncement increases your risk of dying in a wreck. You omitted the middle part, the actual wearing of the seatbelt or not part. You then retorted with "there's a connection between not wearing a seatbelt and the risk of dying in a wreck", which omitted the denial phase, and claimed it was the same thing. So instead of saying:
Denial + Action = Predictable Effect
You actual said:
Denial = Predicted Effect
followed by:
Action = Predicted Effect
Then said that (Denial = Predicted Effect) = (Action = Predicted Effect) as some sort of weird defense of your misstatement. Regardless of all of that, it still doesn't address the fatal flaw in your reasoning, in that it's totally predicated on the fact that you're outright dismissing any action purely speculatively based on the denial even existing.