1918, a flu pandemic spread so quickly that by the end of the following year, an estimated 40 million people were dead. Where did this particular flu strain come from, and what made it so deadly? PBS
Secrets of the Dead: Killer Flu explores the genetic research of the 1918 flu strain and how it relates to the present-day virus.
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Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger, chief molecular pathologist at the Armed Forces Institute of Pathology, and supervising producer
Kurt Tondorf were online
Thursday, March 4 at 1 p.m. ET to discuss flu strains and the documentary
Dr. Taubenberger and a team of scientists are involved in studying the DNA of this World War I pandemic virus in the hopes of stopping a genetically similar flu before it strikes again.
Tondorf joined Thirteen in November of 2002 as an associate producer in the station's science programming unit and has since become coordinating producer for Secrets of the Dead. After overseeing post-production for last season's Secrets of the Dead finale, "Bombing Nazi Dams" (winner of a New York Festivals Gold World medal), he went on to serve as producer of the U.S. version of "Warrior Challenge," a four-part series that aired nationally on PBS in May 2003.
Editor's Note: Washingtonpost.com moderators retain editorial control over Live Online discussions and choose the most relevant questions for guests and hosts; guests and hosts can decline to answer questions.
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Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Hello, and thanks for joining us today. Dr. Taubenberger and I are here to answer any questions you might have about last night's program (which will actually air nationally again tonight for satellite viewers). Fire away. -KT
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Forked River, N.J.: For Mr. Tondorf:
I've seen a couple of the Secrets of the Dead programs and am always struck by how interesting the stories from obscure individuals can be. Where do you find your interview subjects? Where do the stories come from?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: We have a host of talented producers who pitch us story ideas from all across the globe. We often have to be very selective. Most of the stories are gleaned from newspapers and magazines, and every so often a producer will just happen upon a story by random chance (by word-of-mouth, etc.). Thanks for watching.
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Chicago Ill.: Please clarify: Do I understand correctly that the flu virus originates in birds and cannot be transmitted to humans without the "cooking pot" of the pig. But, the pig is a mammal the same as humans. So I don't understand why it cannot be transmitted directly from bird to human mammal. And, can we absorb this virus by eating the meat of both the bird and the mammal?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Influenza A viruses are generally thought of as deriving as viruses from waterbirds like ducks and geese. It is still not completely clear how bird viruses adapt and mutate into forms that can infect mammals like horse, pigs, and people. Pigs are known to be susceptible to both human and bird flu viruses so they have been thought of as "mixing vessels." But no real evidence exists for this process to form human pandemics. The H5 viruses in Asia have shown that humans can be infected directly with bird flu viruses, so I don't think that pigs would be needed in this process.
You can't get the flu from meat.
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Brooklyn, N.Y.: Dr Taubenberger and Kurt - How do you personally prevent catching a cold?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: "colds" are caused by a variety of different viruses. In general respiratory viruses are spread by aerosol droplets. So, washing your hands, avoiding touching your nose and mouth, avoiding clsoe contact with others who have "colds." In terms of influenza, I recommend taking the vaccine.
J.T.
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Pauline, S.C.: If by some mistake, the 1918 flu strain were released into our society today, do you think the result would be as devastating as it was in 1918?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: I think Dr. Taubenberger says in the opening of the film that there is a worry that mass transit will allow such a virus to jump more easily from continent to continent. Then again, our awareness and surveillance of such a virus is much higher now than it was in 1918. -KT
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Waldorf, Md.: I've read several books about the 1918 flu (Gina
Kulata, Alfred Crosby) and just read the PBS
Internet material on your show, and theories
about the flu jumoing (or not jumping) species
and the notion of the flu infecting people for
several weeks without showing symptoms, and
then mutating into the serious, deadly strain. In
the case of the 1918 flue, there was an early,
relatively mild outbreak during the summer, and
then a "second wave" of the much more deadly
strain in Sept. and October. Can anyone account
for this? Is it possible that the flu in the first wave
mutated into the deadlier version and "caused"
the second wave? (Since the thinking now is that
the flu did NOT begin with birds, you say you are
looking for a different host. Could that host --at
least of the second wave -- have been humans?)
Keep up the good work! (Both in the lab and on
the air.)
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: This is a very inportant question. Since flu viruses were not known to exist in 1918, no isolates were made. Because the initial wave caused illness more than death, far fewer autopsies are available than from the fall wave. We are limited to finding genetic material from the virus from autopsy tissues.
It seesm likely to me that the first wave strain did acquire a mutation that made it spread much more efficiently in people. The difference therefore might not be in virulence per se, but in how well it spread from person to person. We are trying to find a spring-smmer wave case to test these theories.
JT
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Minneapolis, Minn.: I have heard that the flu started in the United States in the spring of 1918 at a military base in the state of Kansas. Have you heard of that and what is your response? Also if this is a case of the flu of 1918 why did it occor in the United Sates when the United States had not yet sent troops to England?
Now just my comment about 1918, isn't pecular that so many strange things happened in 1918 that changed the world and has all but been forgotten. Such as the world war and the flu.
Thank you Robert from Minneapolis, MN USA go Twins!!!!
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: One of the possible origins for the 1918 virus is Camp Funston, a military camp in Kansas, and we explore this in the opening of our film. Within a week of the first case being announced there in March 1918, 500 people fell ill. But as Dr. Taubenberger will attest, the precise origin of the virus has still yet to be confirmed, and perhaps never will be. There is still the possibility that the 1918 virus began with a 'herald wave' that struck earlier than 1918. --KT
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McDonough, Ga.: My grandfather died of the Spanish Influenza at forty years of age. He lived in the same house as my grandmother, father and two other children. My grandmother nursed him and took care of her children. How is it no one else in the house contacted this flu?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: This is difficult to answer but is typical of influenza infection in general. In 1918 at the height of the outbreak only 28% of the population became ill with flu. Later studies showed however that nearly 100% of the population was exposed to the virus since they had antibodies in their blood against it. Why 2/3 of people get exposed to a virus, even the 1918 flu, and not have any illness is not clear, but their are probably host response differences.
JKT
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Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Dr.Taubenberger,
How similar is the genetic structure of the 1918 influenza strain to the current H5N1 avian strain currently circulating in Asia? Do you think that a precurser strain of avian flu was circulating in birds in the years imediately prior to the 1918 outbreak?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Both 1918 flu and current Asian H5N1 viruses are influenza type A viruses, sharing a similar genetic structure overall. Subtle changes in the genes of these viruses probably result in their ability to infect different species of animals and to cause different levels of disease. Understanding these genetic changes between bird and human strains is a key component of my lab's work.
I think the 1918 flu originated from an animal but not from the typical ducks that have been known to carry flu. I favor an unknown avian host.
JT
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Portland, Ore.: How is the flu spread from one location to another? How are outbreaks able to show up in remote areas simultaneously with no obvious human carrier between them? Air travel cannot be to blame because this seems to have occurred prior to this mode of transportation.
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Flu actually originated as a bird virus millions of years ago. As we mention in our film, typically the virus crosses the species barrier into mammals, like pigs, before infecting humans. So birds can actually bring the virus to populations otherwise untouched by the disease. -KT
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Bronx, N.Y.: Could you explpain how long does flu virus stay in one's body?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Flu infection is very rapid. You generally get sick with 12-24 hours after exposure, and peak viral replication is 24-48 hrs. Very little virus is left in the respiratory tree after 5-6 days.
JT
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Basking Ridge, NJ: For the producers,
Why wasn't there more about the bird flu in this program? Does it take a long lead time to get a show on the air?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Great question, and I'm glad it was asked. This film was first conceived over a year ago. With such a fresh topic (and with scientists like Dr. Taubenberger continually updating their research!) we found it daunting to include everything we would have liked to. The bird flu started becoming a world news story right around the time we were wrapping up our production. I'm sure there's another producer somewhere working on a film about that story. --KT
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San Diego, Calif.: What would be the casualties counts of the same 1918 flu in our modern time?
Did you run any model factoring major differences between now and then (Hygiene, information, healthcare,etc.)?
Thank you.
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: This is a difficult question. On the plus side, we have the ability to make protective vaccines, have excellent anti-influenza drugs, and antibiotics for secondary bacterial infections. On the down side the world is more crowded and movement of people by airplane around the world would likely make a pandemic strain spread even more rapidly than in 1918. Also most of the world's population lives in areas without the access to vaccines and anti-viral drugs that are available in the U.S. and other industrialized nations.
JT
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Arlington, Va.: In relative terms, how dangerous was the Swine Flu (from the '70's). Could that strain have mutated, and we dodged a bullet?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Potentially all human exposures to animal flu viruses have the risk of becoming serious health threats. Flu viruses have to adapt to their host to be transmitted from person to person. Without that, the virus cannot spread in humans. That was the case in the 1976 swine flu outbreak in NJ and more recently in the Asian H5 flu outbreaks. It is important to try to control these animal to human trnasmissions to reduce the risk that these viruses could mutate into a human-adaptive form. Luckily for us, the chance for this happening seems to be very small (since pandemic viruses only appear rarely) but the risk is NOT zero.
JT
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Washington, D.C.: We've seen some pretty bad flu epidemics since 1918, but nothing as bad. What's changed, besides better vaccines, to lessen the chance of another epidemic on this scale?
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: I think a big part of why the 1918 influenza virus killed so many millions of people was because at the time, viruses weren't widely recognized as disease-causing agents. The medical community in 1918 suspected the deaths were being caused by a bacterium. Another potential factor was the fact that this incredibly virulent virus struck the world at a time when a major war, involving many of the most populous nations in the world, was still raging. Today, there's still the possibility of millions dying from a particularly virulent strain of influenza, but the surveillance mechanisms in place will likely stop a death toll short of such catastrophic numbers.
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Marietta, Ohio: Hello Dr. Taubenberger,
I have done some historical research into the 1918 pandemic using public health records in Piqua, Ohio. Are you aware of any projects which are compliling data on how the influenza epidemic impacted smaller communities in the United States? Also, what would be the 'common' names of the time for the various secondary infections that caused mortality in 1918 flu victims?
Thank you, I enjoyed the program last night!
Rachel
Dr. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and Kurt Tondorf: Yes, there are people investigating the outbreak in various communities in the U.S. You might want to start with the Crosby book - "America's forgotten pandemic" as a good source.
Common names were: influenza, flu, grippe, grip, pneumonia. The bacteria casing