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creat!ve 01-29-2006, 10:18 PM *** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to creat!ve [4h 5h]
duckdog19: folds
creat!ve: calls $1
D_Grayson: folds
thevictim71: calls $0.50
KojakMaloney: checks
*** FLOP *** [3h 5c 2h]
thevictim71: checks
KojakMaloney: bets $5
creat!ve: raises $5 to $10
thevictim71: raises $59.10 to $69.10 and is all-in
KojakMaloney: calls $26 and is all-in
creat!ve said, "lol"
creat!ve said, "i have a striaght flush draw"
creat!ve said, "45h"
creat!ve said, "you have the nut striaght obvious"
D_Grayson said, "and if you take long enough theyll tell you what they have"
creat!ve said, "someone has ah xh"
creat!ve: folds
*** TURN *** [3h 5c 2h] [Ah]
creat!ve said, "****"
*** RIVER *** [3h 5c 2h Ah] [Td]
creat!ve said, "fucasdfkl;jdj"
creat!ve said, "asd;lkfjasdk"
*** SHOW DOWN ***
thevictim71: shows [As 4d] (a straight, Ace to Five)
KojakMaloney: mucks hand
creat!ve said, "my god"
thevictim71 collected $73 from pot
creat!ve said, "im so pissed"
should i have folded getting a little under 2-1 on my monies on that? lol
Baby Bew 01-29-2006, 11:07 PM You talk too much
I hate people like you at tables
cacophobia 01-29-2006, 11:38 PM your flop min-raise is horrendous.
What are stack sizes? Are you sure you've calculated the pot odds correctly?
logmans 01-30-2006, 01:59 AM If you thought someone else was on the flush draw then it was a good fold, but I know I sure as hell would have called
You talk too much
I hate people like you at tables
Yea I'm a little curious as to what you hope to gain by the table talk at an online table.
creat!ve 01-30-2006, 11:18 AM anything really, id love just a few words just to get some sort of extra info
Baby Bew 01-30-2006, 11:32 AM anything really, id love just a few words just to get some sort of extra info
"Hey guys, this is how I played this hand preflop and postflop and this is what I am going to do to an all in raise, but if you could just tell me what you have too we can be friends"
creat!ve 01-30-2006, 12:13 PM bews a jealous broke ass
kwolf 01-30-2006, 01:15 PM What flop are you hoping to see with that hand? You flop top pair and an OESF draw and assuming you can call the full raise, you are getting 1.5-1 pot odds. Laying that down is just giving away money.
creat!ve 01-30-2006, 01:51 PM i was convinced that they had those hands, i was sure that the ah was in play and i was only drawing to a 1 outer vs a made straight and the nut flush draw..
If you were/are so convinced of that read then why are you posting that hand here? You were right about the straight and wrong about the Ah. If you don't have a question about it, why are you posting it here as if you do?
Baby Bew 01-30-2006, 05:01 PM If you were/are so convinced of that read then why are you posting that hand here? You were right about the straight and wrong about the Ah. If you don't have a question about it, why are you posting it here as if you do?
He wants to get his dick sucked by us
cacophobia 01-30-2006, 05:52 PM This is a little risky for me because I've never calculated pot odds like this before... in terms of equity, that is. But if you look at a simple example of a flush draw and a guy bets all-in for $50 into a $50 pot, we know already we have odds to call and we know that we have 33% equity in the pot. So the bet you are facing must be less than or equal to your equity in the pot _once you call_.
Let's draw out a worst case scenario:
big stack has AhTh
second guy has 46o
(I think the straight on the big stack is a bit unlikely here for obvious reasons)
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 10.1575 % 05.76% 04.40% { 5h4h }
Hand 2: 25.9751 % 25.80% 00.17% { AhTh }
Hand 3: 63.8674 % 59.47% 04.40% { 64o }
Once you call the main pot will be $31*3+3 = $96. Your equity in the main pot is $9.75.
In the side pot:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 58.7879 % 57.88% 00.91% { 5h4h }
Hand 2: 41.2121 % 40.30% 00.91% { AhTh }
Once you call the side pot is $76.2. Your equity here is $44.80.
So once you call the $59.10 you have $54.55 worth of equity in the pot and lose almost $5 on a call. But this is a worst case scenario. I would expect to see pair + straight draw/set/made straight here far more than often enough to compensate. What you have to consider is even if the outlined worst case scenario happens, say, 80% of the time (which is an extreme overestimate), you have such incredible pot odds the other 20% of the time that you will very quickly make your money back.
Consider:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 37.9601 % 34.38% 03.58% { 5h4h }
Hand 2: 12.4317 % 11.38% 01.05% { AA, 55, 33-22, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }
Hand 3: 49.6082 % 46.16% 03.45% { 64o }
Pot = $96, Equity = $36.44
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 65.6883 % 59.08% 06.60% { 5h4h }
Hand 2: 34.3117 % 27.71% 06.60% { AA, 55, 33-22, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }
Pot = $76.2, Equity = $50.05
For a total equity of $86.49 and a net equity of $27.39. (vs. a net equity of -$4.55 in the other case)
.2*27.39 - .8*4.55 = $1.84
As I said, the 80% is an overestimate IMO, but even with that you have made your money back already.
Pubknight 01-30-2006, 06:03 PM I don't think the question you should be asking yourself is if you made the right decision in folding.
I think the question you should be asking yourself is why you are playing that hand from second position at all.
cacophobia 01-30-2006, 06:06 PM fwiw the "what flop were you hoping to see" reasoning is very imprecise. You play the hand because you think you can turn a profit with it, that doesn't mean you always go to the felt if hand strength >= x. The action will usually dictate the strength of your hand, not the board.
cacophobia 01-30-2006, 06:09 PM He is in the CO. You couldn't pry these cards from my hands.
creat!ve 01-30-2006, 09:02 PM co 6 handed
Pubknight 01-31-2006, 12:02 AM Misread it as he was second to act off deal... didn't catch that it was only 6 handed.
Regardless, I think one would have a really hard time justifying playing that hand from anywhere except the blinds.
Plunk 01-31-2006, 12:23 AM Invest in some testicles?
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